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券商密集發布12月業績翻倍只是起步價牛市發動機
2020-01-11 18:04  www.petitewanders.com

  券商业绩这么好,年终奖想必也是天价了!巧的是,周四正好有一篇文章戳中了大家眼球,“250个月工资?券商要发天价年终奖?”有自媒体发文称中信建投证券员工的年终奖要签发了,区间多集中在85个月至250个月之间,按照中位数计算,拿到600万年终奖不是难事儿。

Brokerage performance so good, the end of the award must be sky - high! Coincidentally, on Thursday, an article poked everyone's eye,\"250 months'salary? The brokerages are going to pay a premium?\" Since the media wrote that the end-of-year awards for CITIC's employees were to be issued, the range was mostly between 85 months and 250 months, and it was not difficult to get the 6 million end-of-year award at the median.

  对此传言,中信建投证券有高管称,“该传闻系哗众取宠,与事实明显不符。源发文章因与事实不符,经我司质疑后已撤稿。”

To this rumor, citic investment securities executives said,\" the rumor is grandstanding, and clearly not in accordance with the facts.\" Source of the article because of the facts do not agree, after our doubts have been withdrawn.\"

  中信建投多位内部人士同样对这些传言感到莫名其妙,“时点不对,我们根本没有所谓年终奖,奖金是次年的六七月份发放。”而对于具体奖励金额,不同岗位有所悬殊,整体来看传言或有过度夸大的成分。

CITIC's many insiders are equally baffled by the rumours.\" The time is wrong. We don't have an end-of-year bonus at all. And for the specific amount of incentives, different posts have a wide gap, on the whole to see rumors or excessively exaggerated elements.

  作为市场上著名的“75司”“99司”,多年来传言中信建投证券员工的年终奖高于75%的同行,2015年传说公司年终奖极其丰厚,一举跃居99司,工资与年终奖高于99%的同行。

As the market's famous \"75 division \",\"99 division \", over the years rumored that citic investment securities employees more than 75% of the year-end award, in 2015 legend of the company's year-end award is extremely rich, jump to 99 departments, wages and year-end awards higher than 99% of the peers.

  2019年,上证综指从2440点涨至3000点以上,期间最高点达到3288点,整体涨幅%,深证成指和创业板指更牛,全年涨幅分别为%和%,在全球主要股指中分列第二、第三位。

In 2019, the Shanghai composite index rose from 2440 points to more than 3,000 points, peaking at 3,288 points during the period, an overall gain of%, while the Shenzhen composite index and the gem were more bullish, with annual gains of% and% respectively, ranking second and third among the world's major stock indexes.

  另外,中信建投证券的股价也在一片争议声中曲折上涨,年内涨幅263%,这也是大家纷纷猜测中信高额年终奖的原因。

In addition, citic's shares also rose in controversy, up 263% in the year, which is why there has been speculation about citic's high annual bonus.

  据机构近期发布的2020年A股投资策略报告显示,券商依然是A股长牛行情中被看好的主线之一。不少机构人士称,券商作为资本市场最重要的纽带和中介,未来的发展空间十分广阔。券商的2020投资策略普遍认为,未来证券行业马太效应仍将持续,机构大多看好龙头券商和特色券商。

Brokers remain one of the main lines of bullishness in A-share bulls, according to the agency's recent report on its 2020 A-share investment strategy. As the most important link and intermediary of the capital market, the future development space is very broad. Brokerage's 2020 investment strategy generally believes that the future securities industry Matthew effect will continue, institutions are mostly optimistic about leading brokerages and characteristic brokerages.

  中银证券预计,2019年以来,受国内外诸多不确定性因素影响,券商板块估值一度回调至较低水平,近期受多重利好因素的集中催化,板块有望再度彰显高弹性。预计在悲观、中性、乐观假设下,证券行业2020年整体净利润增速为-%、%、%。

Bank of china securities expects that since 2019, affected by many uncertainties at home and abroad, brokerage sector valuation has been pulled back to a lower level, the recent focus of multiple positive factors, the plate is expected to show high elasticity again. Under the pessimistic, neutral and optimistic assumption, the overall net profit growth of the securities industry in 2020 is expected to be -%,%,%.

  天风证券认为,从业务层面看,股权融资迎来大发展,2020年投行业务有望多点开花。创业板改革将稳步推进,新三板改革、分拆上市、再融资、并购重组等相关政策均已落地,2020年将是股权融资大年,亦是政策利好转化为券商业绩的一年。预计2020年投行业务收入至少同比增长20%至662亿元。此外,投行业务是激活业务资源,提升券商ROE的重要引擎,股权投资、资本中介、衍生品业务均可受益于此。预计“投行 PE”模式将在2020年明确体现出业绩贡献。市场层面,2019年12月以来交易活跃度显著提升,亦带来券商业绩弹性。

Tianfeng Securities believes that from the business level, equity financing ushered in a big development, investment banking business is expected to blossom in 2020. gem reform will steadily advance, the new three board reform, split listing, refinancing, mergers and acquisitions and other related policies have landed,2020 will be a big year of equity financing, but also a good policy into brokerage performance. Investment banking revenues are expected to grow by at least 20 per cent year-on-year to $66.2bn in 2020. Moreover, investment banking is an important engine for activating business resources and boosting brokerage ROE, which can benefit from equity investments, capital intermediation, and derivatives. The investment banking PE model is expected to clearly reflect its performance contribution in 2020. At the market level, trading activity has increased significantly since December 2019, and has also brought flexibility to broker performance.

  海通证券表示,“科技 券商”有望成为A股本轮行情的主导板块。从政策角度看,产业政策支持、贸易争端引发的国产替代、金融领域鼓励直接融资等因素均有助于新兴产业发展。从技术周期来看,当前正处在5G引领的新一轮科技周期中,借鉴A股市场2012年-2015年的经验,科技股行情往往会扩散,可能从当前的电子扩展至其他应用场景,包括传媒、新能源车等。此外,金融供给侧改革将助力券商盈利全面回升。在金融供给侧改革的背景下,做大直接融资、股权融资必将做大做强证券行业。随着牛市第二波上涨逐渐展开,股市成交量将放大,券商高贝塔特征将逐渐显现,券商业绩更能进一步提升。