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多少票可當選臺灣地區領導人媒體解讀選舉
2020-01-11 18:04  www.petitewanders.com

  2020台湾地区领导人选举明(11)日就要投票了,今年蓝绿竞争激烈,预估投票率会比上届的6成6高出许多。那么多少票才能当选台湾地区领导人呢?

The 2020 election for Taiwan's regional leaders will be held tomorrow, with the year's blue-and-green competition much higher than the previous 6%. So how many votes will be elected as Taiwan's regional leader?

  台湾《中时电子报》报道,台湾1996年开放直选,当年投票率为76%。2000年政党首次轮替,投票率拉高到史上最高的82%,2004年小降到80%,2008、2012持续走低,分别为76%、74%,2016年更首破7成、只剩66%,国民党因大批民众失望拒绝投票而惨败。

Taiwan's China-Times e-newspaper reported that Taiwan opened its elections in 1996, with a turnout of 76 percent. For the first time in 2000, turnout rose to the highest 82% in history, to 80% in 2004, and to 76% in 2008 and 74% in 2012.

  今年选举竞争激烈,加上2018年九合一选举国民党大胜,民进党又炒作“芒果乾”,预计将带动整体投票率走高。排除2016年超低投票率不算,改以历年次低的7成4估算,总投票人数为1930万,全台可投出1428万票,过半数为714万。由于今年3组人马投入角逐,700万票应该就可以当选台湾地区领导人。当然,万一投票率更高,当选门槛也将水涨船高。

This year's election competition is fierce, plus the 2018 nine-in-one election kuomintang big victory, the dpp also hyped \"mango dry \", is expected to drive the overall turnout higher. Excluding the 2016 ultra-low turnout, the total number of voters was 19.3 million, or 14.28 million, or 7.14 million in excess of the previous year's low estimate. With the three groups competing this year, seven million people should be elected as leaders of the taiwan region. Of course, in the event of higher turnout, the threshold will rise.

  台“中选会”公布今年拥有投票资格的人数约为万人,台北市、新北市、桃园市、台中市、台南市及高雄市等6县市选民人数达万人之多,占总选民人数的%,其中又以新北市选民人数最多。年龄层方面,以40-49岁居冠,有374万多人,其次为50-59岁,有363万多人。此外,今年还将有118万“首投族”。

The Taiwan Central Election Committee announced that the number of people eligible to vote this year was about 10,000, with voters in six counties, including Taipei, Xinbei, Taoyuan, Taichung, Tainan and Kaohsiung, accounting for as many as 10,000, or% of the total number of voters. At the age level, the number is 40-49, with more than 3.74 million, followed by 50-59 and 3.63 million. In addition, there will be 1.18 million first-raters this year.